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Covid daily cases may rise to 19,306 by end of August, Health dept warns

The Department of Health (DOH) on Tuesday warned that daily Covid-19 cases at the national level might reach an alarming 19,306 by August 31 if the current rise in cases will not be reversed.

The DOH, however said, that with the improvement of vaccination and booster rates and minimum public health standards (MPHS) compliance, case increase may be slower and more controlled at about 6,194 to 8,346 cases by the end of August.

The DOH said that while they consider Covid-19 case numbers in determining an area’s alert level, it emphasized the larger focus is on the admission and hospital utilization rates.

“With the advances in Covid-19 treatment and the availability of vaccines to combat severe and critical disease, as well as deaths, we now have the capability to reduce the vulnerable population and keep hospital utilization and fatalities to a minimum,” DOH added.

In line with this, the DOH reiterated the need to continue the wearing of best-fitting face masks, isolating and informing close contacts when sick, doubling-up protection via vaccines, and ensuring good airflow to control the spread of the virus.

“With a continuous rise in Covid-19 cases, the DOH reminds the general public to remain vigilant and adhere to our minimum public health standards such as wearing the best-fitted masks, social distancing, and immediate isolation at the onset of symptoms,” Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire, DOH Officer-in-Charge, said adding that if such factors will be implemented and followed immediately, “a decline in cases may be observed sooner.”

On Monday, the DOH reported that 19,930 cases were logged from July 19 to July 25, averaging 2,847 cases per day.

This was higher by 30 percent as compared to the country’s daily average from the previous week, at only 2,190 cases per day.

The DOH also warned that agency’s latest projections are showing that these case increases may translate to a spike in total and ICU admissions in October, if compliance with MPHS continues to decline and booster rates remain low.

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