|
With
double-digit inflation still hounding the Philippines as
of last month, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas may
deviate from the move by central banks that lowered
interest rates amid fears of a global recession
economists said on Thursday.
BSP
Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. said “the coordinated move,
taken together with improved inflation expectations,
gives us greater monetary-policy space.”
But no
immediate action is expected from the central bank.
“We will
continue to monitor the evolving situation to make sure
our assessment is fresh and our policy stance
appropriate,” said Tetangco, who is currently in
Washington, D.C., for the annual meetings of the
International Monetary Fund and World Bank.
The BSP
may keep key interest rates unchanged for the rest of
the year, waiting for inflation to further drop to
comfortable levels before adopting a relaxed monetary
policy.
If ever
the BSP would lower its policy rates, it would likely be
by 25 basis points, or currently at 6.0 percent for
overnight borrowing and 8.0 percent for overnight
lending, by a minimal 25 basis points, the economists
said.
“It
might be premature for the BSP to cut interest rates
since inflation is still at high levels. The headline
figure is lower in September but core inflation is still
rising,” said Jonathan Ravelas, market strategist at
Banco de Oro Unibank.
Inflation eased to 11.9 percent in September after
steadily rising in the previous 10 consecutive months
due to soaring food and energy prices. This compared
with a 17-year high of 12.5 percent in August.
“I think
there’s room for a rate cut but the central bank is
unlikely to be aggressive in policy easing since the
Philippines is not in a much serious situation,” said
Song Seng Wun, regional economist at CIMB GK brokerage
house in Singapore.
Meanwhile, Finance Secretary Margarito Teves said the
Philippine economy has shown resilience in the face of
global market uncertainties.
“While
we are not completely insulated from these external
shocks, we can withstand further pressures if we
continue to be vigilant and maintain confidence in our
country,” Teves said in a statement.
Teves
said the economic and fiscal reforms implemented in
recent years “have also given us the flexibility to
provide assistance to affected sectors, if necessary.”
“We hope
that the global financial situation will stabilize soon
as world leaders act together to address the
challenges,” he added. |