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    Oil prices have increased by
    more than 50% in a year
     
    By Cai U. Ordinario
    Reporter
     

    OVER the past year, local pump prices have already increased by more than 50 percent, according to the estimates of independent think tank IBON Foundation, highlighting the urgency for the government to regulate the oil industry.

    IBON said in a statement that between June 2007 and June 2008, the average pump prices of unleaded gasoline and diesel have increased by 47 percent and 52 percent, respectively.

    Further, since the start of deregulation in 1996, pump prices of unleaded gas have increased by 492 percent, while prices of diesel have increased by 607 percent.

    “Oil deregulation was supposed to ensure affordable and accessible petroleum products by breaking up the local oil cartel, allowing ‘market forces’ to determine the real price of oil. Instead, it only gave Shell, Petron and Chevron [formerly Caltex], more room for speculation and to dictate prices and price hikes,” IBON said. The think tank said the dramatic increase in oil prices in the country is not only due to soaring oil prices in the international market but also due to the “profiteering” of oil firms.

    IBON estimated that as much as 47 percent to 54 percent of the pump price of petroleum products represents windfall profits of the oil firms. “This profiteering only proves that oil prices are artificially bloated at international and local levels because of the dominance of transnational oil firms over the industry, which gives them the upper hand to practice monopoly pricing and speculation,” IBON said.

    The think tank said that around P31 per liter of pump prices in the Philippines could be deemed as windfall profits of transnational oil firms.

    This assumption was based on an estimate of the real cost of oil, which the think tank pegged at $31 to $32 per barrel. This estimate, IBON said, already incorporated exploration cost, production cost and royalties to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

    The think tank subtracted this from the May 2008 average Dubai spot price of $117 per barrel showing that oil firms may have already earned windfall profits of $86 to $87 per barrel of crude oil.

    When applied to local pump prices, IBON said that for every liter of unleaded gasoline, P26 to P31 goes to total windfall profits and for diesel, P23 to P27 per liter goes to profits.

    This estimation, IBON said, was made using 159 liters per barrel and an exchange rate of P43 to $1. It also used the prevailing pump prices as of June 14, 2008.

    “An effective way to break up the monopoly control of the oil firms over the local downstream oil sector and ensure affordable and accessible oil products is to revoke the oil-deregulation law and give the government regulatory authority over the oil industry,” IBON said.

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