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    Government may meet 6-month deficit
     
    By Jun Vallecera
    Reporter
     

    It is likely that the budget deficit in the first half would prove better than target, the Department of Finance said on Thursday.

    According to Finance Undersecretary Gil Beltran, initial indications of strong revenue flows and on-budget spending in June boosted optimism that the government spent much less than the six-month deficit goal of P40.96 billion.

    He said it is quite evident that the actual deficit last month should prove lower than target.

    Beltran, who heads the DOF’s fiscal planning unit, pointed out the five-month deficit stood at only P18.8 billion, or way below the first-half deficit goal.

    He did not on the actual calculations, but according to Beltran the P7 billion budget surplus in May pared the shortfall in the first five months to only P18.8 billion.

    In contrast, the deficit stood at P41.8 billion in the same period last year.

    “We are likely to overperform our fiscal target in the first half,” Beltran told reporters on Thursday.

    His optimism contrasted sharply with the analysis from Moody’s Investor Service and that of the International Monetary Fund, that says the fiscal sector should have a tough time meeting its P75-billion deficit goal due to unplanned social spending forced on it by soaring food and oil prices.

    Beltran said revenues for the first half was broadly on track with the goal of raising at least P561.7 billion for the period.

    Public spending, the need to subsidize food for the less financially endowed notwithstanding, was also believed on track and likely to fall within the programmed P602.7 billion.

    Actual spending during the first five months stood at P501.2 billion, he said.

    Beltran also said public spending is never compressed in the first five months to keep the bottomline shortfall at a reasonable level.

    In the first five months, actual spending stood at P501.2 billion, or 5.7 percent higher than P474.4 billion a earlier, according to Beltran.

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