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Detta is
all of 11 years old, and the precocious Indonesian youth
is an avid Barack Obama fan. She’s wearing the “Go Obama”
T-shirt to prove it.
“He’s
her hero, the greatest!” says her father, who sells
pirated shirts and DVDs on the island of Bali and will
only give his surname, Subuowo. “Do you think he’ll win?
We hope so.”
There’s
a reason many in Asia eagerly await new US leadership:
The region feels neglected by the world’s sole
superpower. Many Asians want the next president to
pursue a more collaborative, forward-looking
relationship with the most dynamic economic region after
the November election.
“You
have to wonder about the wisdom of taking the region of
the world that’s growing the fastest and gaining so much
influence for granted,” says Roberto de Ocampo, who was
the Philippine finance minister during the mid-1990s.
US trade
with the 10 members of the Association of Southeast
Asian Nations, or Asean, has barely budged since 2000.
That has allowed China to blanket Asia with an
aggressive—and successful—charm offensive. China’s
10-percent-plus growth has reduced
Japan’s importance in
Asia and
created a counterweight to US influence in the region.
When US
President George W. Bush has engaged Asia, it has been
about terrorist threats. Asians care about security;
they care just as much about raising living standards
through fairer trade and a more equal relationship with
the biggest economy.
Pulling
for Obama
Obama,
who spent part of his childhood in Jakarta, is
especially well-known in these parts. Chatting to
business people in Australia, India, Indonesia,
Singapore or South Korea, it’s clear many outside the
United States are pulling for Obama.
Not that
it means much to many Americans. Among the things that
sank Sen. John Kerry’s presidential campaign in 2004 was
a perception that foreigners wanted him to defeat Bush.
So the fascination with which many outside the United
States view the 46-year-old Democratic nominee is worth
considering.
It was
apparent recently when I met businessman Emirsyah Satar.
A group of his peers introduced him to me as “a former
classmate of Barack Obama.”
They
didn’t refer to Satar as president-director of PT Garuda
Indonesia, the nation’s biggest airline. Nor did anyone
say he’s a former bigwig at PT Bank Danamon Indonesia,
the country’s fifth-largest lender by assets. He was
simply Obama’s one-time schoolmate.
“I guess
it’s my claim to fame,” Satar says.
Losing
Asia
Obamamania has also spread across Japan from the city of
Obama. In recent months, the city of 32,000 in central
Japan
has been the site of celebrations drawing a group of
hula dancers calling themselves “Obama Girls.” Officials
there are looking to use the notoriety to promote the
local economy.
When
meeting Japanese for the first time, questions about
Obama come up without fail. The same is true traveling
around
Asia. While hardly a scientific poll, it seems clear that many
Asians expect Obama to reach out to a curious region
more than Republican front-runner John McCain might.
That may
very well be a misreading of things. Republicans tend to
support free trade more than many Democrats, and any
move toward protectionism by Obama could prove ominous
for
Asia.
Whatever
happens in November, there’s little doubt that the Bush
administration dropped the proverbial ball in
Asia.
Mending
US-Asia relations should be a top priority for the next
occupant of the White House. The
United States
needs Asia’s capital, commodities, goods, labor and
cooperation on everything from climate change to
security to diplomacy.
‘Post-American world’
As
Fareed Zakaria argues in his new book The
Post-American World, it’s becoming harder for the
United States to thrive in the globalization age.
Upstart economies have learned from the US economic
model and are competing as never before.
“This is
a book not about the decline of America but rather about
the rise of everyone else,” he writes. The book is also
noteworthy because Obama was seen carrying it last
month.
“The
real story of the last few years is the movement of
economic influence away from the developed world toward
the developing one,” says Javier Santiso, director of
the OECD Development Centre in Paris. “That will only
continue and it will be disorienting for many. It will
be the same way for the US, too.”
Part of
Obama’s allure in
Asia reflects
policy, particularly his pledge to end the war in Iraq
and engage more in diplomacy than muscle-flexing. Part
of it is generational. Obama is a quarter of a century
younger than McCain, and many Asian nations boast young
populations.
Observers such as Kishore Mahbubani, a former
Singaporean diplomat and dean of the Lee Kuan Yew School
of Public Policy, also point to ethnicity. Seeing the
son of a black Kenyan father and a white Kansan mother
become president could raise the US stock around the
globe. Many might whisper, approvingly, “Only in
America,” he says.
Whoever
replaces Bush should cast his eyes immediately in Asia’s
direction. The costs of taking this region for granted
are already being counted, as even those making a living
on
Indonesia’s
beaches will tell you. |