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    A time for leaders

    The grave challenges now facing the nation and the world make plain that we need strong leadership for our country today: not popular, movie star-like leadership that transforms citizens into fans; but gritty, tough-minded and effective leadership that can solve problems and meet goals and objectives.

    The problems are not only huge; there seems to be a shifting of the tides. The unabated rise in oil prices, the emergence of the food emergency, the surge of inflation and the threat of a global recession—all of them, taken together, amount to a period of great instability and insecurity. And only strong, effective leadership can ensure that our country will not wind up under the rubble after its spurt of productivity and growth last year. 

    The need of the times is frightening because if there’s one thing we have never been lucky at, it is in the quality of our leaders. The personages who have risen to the highest office of the land—or the high posts in the legislature—have been invariably popular politicians. Once in office, however, most have turned out to be ineffective, unable to meet national expectations.

    How, then, do we stack up right now before the present challenges?

    Whatever the level of her approval ratings today, I think the nation is lucky to have at the helm President Arroyo. Lay aside the fact that she’s been on the job for seven years; the fact is, she has always been at her best when under stress. She’s undaunted in confronting even the most formidable challenges. She can tune out the howls of hecklers, protesters and critics in doing what she believes she must do. And she has the credentials of a leader who understands economics—the topic on everyone’s lips today. In short, she is a leader for these unpredictable times.

    In 2005, under the most powerful challenge yet to her presidency as a result of the “Hello Garci” controversy, she not only faced down the threat of impeachment against her, she used the moment to make some landmark decisions that put the economy and the nation back on track. Specifically, she pushed decisively for the approval of the then-fearsome expanded value-added tax, and proved that it would enormously help in stabilizing government finances and licking the fiscal deficit. She rebuilt her Cabinet after the resignation of the Hyatt 10, and the new secretaries proved not only loyal but also surprisingly able. And, just as important, she consolidated her support within the military and began a major effort to really solve the decades-old communist insurgency, setting 2010 as her target date to rid the country of the menace.

    Every year since, there has been an annual ritual by opponents to try to unseat her. To no avail. This year there was a major push for her resignation as a result of the explosive Senate inquiry into the ZTE broadband deal. While the GMA-resign effort was well-orchestrated and well-funded—as it seemingly gathered under one roof disparate forces from right to left—the President faced them down with a tough-as-nails policy and strategy, utilizing, among others things, “the unity walk” as her signature of support. As things now stand, there will be no budging her from the presidency now until it’s time for her to go in June 2010.

    Perfect economic storm

    If analysts are right in saying that the country is headed toward “a perfect economic storm,” it is, therefore, just as well that we have a pilot who does not have to worry about election or reelection, and who is mainly concerned that she does right by our people and our country during this difficult time. Her only test is effectiveness as a leader.    

    That kind of single-mindedness is what is most needed to wrestle down the multiple crises and come up with availing solutions. Just as this administration summoned the will to tackle the fiscal deficit starting in 2005, so could this be the year when the nation began to address in earnest outstanding national problems and challenges, such as:

    1. Modernizing public transport and infrastructure—It’s no mystery that a city like Hong Kong hardly feels the spike in oil prices because residents and visitors don’t drive cars; they just take the well-maintained and modern public-transport system.

    2. Achieving high agricultural productivity and food sufficiency—In this day and age when mankind has all the knowledge to produce food in abundance for all, there is no reason we Filipinos cannot produce enough food not only to feed ourselves, but also to export to other countries. The rise in food prices can itself be the spur to greater productivity because it will attract investments in agriculture.

    3. Strengthening trade, investment and other economic links—Our engagement in the global economy should intensify under the weight of the new challenges. Where in the past, integration has been halting and patchy, necessity should now foster a single-minded focus on strengthening our trade, securing more foreign investments and securing more cooperation and assistance in our development efforts.

    4. Measures to ease the pain on the poor—The expected impact of high food and oil prices on the lot of the poor should sharpen the government’s efforts to help the disadvantaged and improve programs on the welfare and housing fronts. Trickle-down growth policies will yield to more propoor type of policies and projects.

    5. Strengthening the social technologies that are the foundations of economic progress: markets, science and democracy—This could be a period when we finally focus on bringing our markets, our sciences and our democracy in step and on a par with the modern world.

    The self-interest of every sector, particularly business, can be a factor for molding a concerted effort to secure the economy and the nation from the vicissitudes of economic crises. I think even the opposition realizes now that the strategy of destruction and nitpicking from the sidelines will not do at this time. They, too, have to think hard about the problems and offer solutions.

    ‘Presidentiables’ must show their stuff

    Which brings me to my final point. This is also going to be a proving time for all those bidding to become president in 2010. The reward for those who hoisted their banners too early is that they will be under scrutiny and under questioning this early. The questions will not be the usual softballs on the tired issues of graft, crime and morality. They will center on what each proposes to do about the problems on the economic front, and what each can do to put the nation on the track to growth.

    Any hope that the economic pain will ease within the year is bound to be in vain. Something fundamental is changing in the world economy. Wealth is being transferred from one part of the world to another on a scale unheard of in history. The prices of oil and commodities will never return to what they were before. The emerging economies are major actors.

    “Presidentiables” will, therefore, be asked: Where do you see our country in this world of seismic change, of tidal changes in fortune and the weather? What can you do to improve the overall position of our country in the world and the quality of life of our people?

    This is a time for vision and probity from political leaders. Looking good before the cameras will not cut it.

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