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    Oil prices seen to rise further next month
    By Paul Anthony A. Isla
    Reporter
     

    PETROLEUM product and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) prices are expected to rise some more next month with the continuous surge in world and regional oil prices.

    “We see no more increases for May, but June is another story,” said Petron Corp. public affairs manager Virginia A. Ruivivar.

    The Petron official added that Petron continues to monitor the oil price movements abroad.

    “We need to see where the international oil prices are going. But we believe there is still pressure to increase the price of gasoline and LPG,” Ruivivar said. She added that Petron had already recouped its under-recovery for the month of April.  

    Ruivivar said market estimates showed that the international contract price of LPG or cooking gas for the month of June has soared by $25 per metric ton.

    The Department of Energy, on the other hand, said amid the average increase of $10 per barrel in the prices of diesel in the international market and $20 in the prices of gasoline this year, net increase in the local pump prices since the start of the year is only P1.20 per liter for diesel and P2.20 per liter for gasoline.

    Since January 7, 2007, oil companies have only increased six times for diesel and seven times for gasoline (including the May 26 increase), and only decreased four times for diesel and gasoline, respectively. Net increase to date is only P1.20 per liter for diesel while P2.20 per liter for gasoline.

    Local pump prices are also way below the peak prices seen in August of 2006. From a high of P37.75 per liter of diesel in August, the new average price of P34.45 per liter is still P3.30 per liter cheaper, while gasoline is P4.80 per liter lower from the peak average price of P44.25 in August.

    Energy undersecretary and officer-in-charge Melinda L. Ocampo said the positive effect of the peso appreciation has significantly contributed to softening the impact of high international oil prices.

    “Oil price increases would have been much higher without the peso appreciation. We are now in a situation where international oil prices are again reaching historical high levels of more than $80 per barrel. If the peso were not as strong as it is today, the impact would have been much higher,” Ocampo said.

    Dubai average price for the month of May is now about $64.54 per barrel compared with $63.97 per barrel in April. Average price of Mean of Platts Singapore (MOPS)-based unleaded gasoline has increased by about $5.39 from $83.64 per barrel in April to $89.03 per barrel in May, while average price of MOPS-based diesel for May is now at $83.42 per barrel compared with $82.11 per barrel in April.

    Meanwhile, the peso-to-dollar exchange has appreciated from the average of P47.82 in April to P46.95 in May.

    “While we are benefiting from the impact of [the] stronger peso, we will continue to work with all sectors to ensure that local pump prices reflect fairly international oil price and foreign-exchange rate changes. I also appeal to oil companies to effect price increases gradually and only when absolutely necessary,” Ocampo said.   

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