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    Imports up, but output  still down

    IMPORTS rose almost 10 percent in February to $3.69 billion from $3.36 billion last year on a steep rise of raw materials and intermediate goods arrivals, yet manufacturing output remained depressed.

    Production indices of the Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries showed a 6-month continuing decline in the Value of Production Index (VaPI) at 8.3 percent and a 14-month contraction in the Volume of Production Index (VoPI) at 10.3 percent, both in February 2007.

    Over half of the 20 manufacturing subsectors covered by the survey particularly textiles, petroleum products, machinery excluding electrical, tobacco, footwear and wearing apparel, beverages and rubber products registered double-digit contractions.

    Import figures for items such as textile, textile yarn, fabrics, coal, coke and chemical compounds, which some of the losing industries use as raw materials, were curiously higher.

    The manufacturing survey estimated average capacity utilization in February at 79.8 percent, with sectors like machinery excluding electrical, electrical machinery, paper and paper products, petroleum products registering more than 80 percent utilization rates.

    The proportion of establishments that operated at full capacity (90 percent to 100 percent) was 9.9 percent . . . more than half, or 58.2 percent, of the establishments operated at 70- percent to 89-percent capacity and 31.9 percent of the establishments operated below 70-percent capacity, according to the survey.

    Despite a seeming contraction in manufacturing activity, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Romulo Neri expressed confidence of a more robust production in the coming months.

    “We expect to have higher domestic production in the coming months given the positive performance of our imports,” said Neri, who is also director general of the National Economic and Development Authority.

    Neri premised his optimism on a strong growth in inward shipments of unprocessed and semiprocessed raw materials and intermediate goods, which grew 96.1 percent to $143.74 million and 26.3 percent to $1.58 billion, respectively. For particular goods, imports of electronics products, for example, rose 6.1 percent to $1.71 billion from $1.61 billion last year.

    Payments for capital goods that may reflect increased capacity or operational expansion slipped 7.3 percent to $1.11 billion from $1.2 billion last year. Commodities under this group include power generating machines, office and elect-ronic data processing machines, land transport equipment, aircraft, and  seacraft.

    Major source markets during the period were the United States with $581.13 million in purchases, Japan with $457.7 million and Singapore with $324.09  million. --R.M. Balaba

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