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    RP imports likely grew slower: poll
     
    By Charo Logarta
    ABS-CBN

    Philippine imports probably grew at a slower pace in November as global crude prices eased and purchases of electronic items weakened, economists said.          

    Imports probably grew 9.55 percent year-on-year in November, according to a median estimate in an ABS-CBN survey of four economists.               

    In October, imports rose 12.5 percent from a year earlier to $4.679 billion, driven by purchases of electronic and oil products. Total imports for the 10 months to October grew 9.2 percent to $42.858 billion. The National Statistics Office will release the imports data on January 25.          

    “I’m expecting imports to rise 9.4 percent to $4.35 billion. Lower oil prices and slowing imports of electronic/electrical products reflecting weaker growth in electronics exports should be the main factors behind the slower rise in November,” said IFR economist George Worthington who is based in Australia.         

    “For 2006 so far, energy-related products were the strongest drivers of growth. With lower oil prices, imports growth should ease somewhat in early 2007, though any gains will again lift import growth in coming months,” he said. Worthington expects the Philippines to post a trade deficit of $330 million in November.        

    Singapore-based DBS was the most bullish as it expected imports in November to grow 12.4 percent year-on-year. It forecast the Philippines to record a trade surplus of $4.68 billion in November. The country recorded a trade deficit of $481 million for October, slightly smaller than the deficit of $525 million in the same month last year.

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