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Philippine imports probably grew at a slower pace in
November as global crude prices eased and purchases of
electronic items weakened, economists said.
Imports probably grew 9.55 percent year-on-year in
November, according to a median estimate in an ABS-CBN
survey of four economists.
In
October, imports rose 12.5 percent from a year earlier
to $4.679 billion, driven by purchases of electronic and
oil products. Total imports for the 10 months to October
grew 9.2 percent to $42.858 billion. The National
Statistics Office will release the imports data on
January 25.
“I’m
expecting imports to rise 9.4 percent to $4.35 billion.
Lower oil prices and slowing imports of
electronic/electrical products reflecting weaker growth
in electronics exports should be the main factors behind
the slower rise in November,” said IFR economist George
Worthington who is based in Australia.
“For
2006 so far, energy-related products were the strongest
drivers of growth. With lower oil prices, imports growth
should ease somewhat in early 2007, though any gains
will again lift import growth in coming months,” he
said. Worthington expects the Philippines to post a
trade deficit of $330 million in November.
Singapore-based DBS was the most bullish as it expected
imports in November to grow 12.4 percent year-on-year.
It forecast the Philippines to record a trade surplus of
$4.68 billion in November. The country recorded a trade
deficit of $481 million for October, slightly smaller
than the deficit of $525 million in the same month last
year. |