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GOVERNMENT experts predict a minimum 0.09 percent to as
much as 3.3 percent boost in the Philippines’ gross
domestic product (GDP) with the Japan-Philippines
Economic Partnership Agreement (Jpepa) in place.
Taking a
second look at the trade pact, economists Josef T. Yap,
Erlinda M. Medalla and Rafaelita M. Aldaba of the
Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS),
however, noted these economic gains depend on the
realization of foreign investment inflows and
productivity gains arising from it.
“Unlike
traditional trade agreements, the Jpepa will go beyond
tariff reductions or eliminations and focuses on
cooperation areas such as technology transfer, training,
and SME development that will allow Filipino
manufacturers to become more competitive,” the PIDS
economists said.
Some
detractors have pointed to the hasty manner both
countries signed the pact as well as
Japan’s
supposed non-reciprocity on the Philippines’ long list
of goods that it allowed to liberalize.
Critics
likewise claimed the agreement would have negative
consequences like jobs displacement and price
distortions in agricultural and industrial goods with a
freer movement of imported items under Jpepa.
The
economists further claimed Jpepa goes beyond its primary
aim of market access by providing mostly the Philippine
economy add-ons such as cooperation initiatives like on
human resources development, financial services,
information and communications technology, particularly
next generation Internet, broadband and ubiquitous
networks, energy and environment, trade and investment
promotion and tourism.
The
Philippines could benefit significantly from Japan’s
capital, technology and expertise to strengthen our
capacity to meet the challenges posed by the “new age”
given its current level of development, they added.
It would
have been more problematic for the Philippines if it had
not entered into this trade pact given the “changing
international economic and political landscape,” the
economists said.
The
Philippines would have lost around 0.04 percent of gross
domestic product if an agreement was not forged with
Japan while Thailand does, they added.
The PIDS
economists likewise emphasized that with the ongoing
trend of regional integration in East Asia, even with
economic powerhouses China and South Korea, a bilateral
agreement with Japan was a very strategic move. |